Study of Jon Lester's Pick-Off Move

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Earlier this week, DMB was contacted by ESPN Grantland to help with a study of Jon Lester's pick-off move.  In part, here is what the author says about Diamond Mind Baseball.

"For more reliable results, we’d have to run many more sims to quiet the statistical noise. Fortunately, we can do that with Diamond Mind, which was developed almost three decades ago by sabermetric pioneer Tom Tippett, who began consulting for the Red Sox in 2003, joined the team full time in 2009, and continues to serve as an informal adviser to the company that curates and updates his old software (probably because the Diamond Mind 2014 Red Sox usually win way more than 71 games)."
 
He then focuses the rest of the article on our results.  Here is a link to the entire article:

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